TROPICAL STORM TRACKER

Tropical Storm Tracker is an AI-based monitoring, forecasting and historical catalogue tool.

The AI augments standard numerical weather prediction and tropical cyclone measurement with intensity information derived directly from satellite images. These forecasts and nowcasts updated every 10 minutes allow:

 

  • preparation and response based on real-time information
  • event-loss expectation assessment
  • catastrophe or other loss model calibration based on objective, accurate historical intensity estimates

A modern Convolutional Neural Network architecture works on each incoming satellite image. Another neural network assimilates other available data sources: numerical weather prediction, reconnaissance data etc and provides a world-class nowcast and forecast algorithm. As a consequence particular strengths with world-leading performance are:

 

  • Nowcasts
  • Intensity forecasts with 0-24 h lead time
  • Historical catalogue of tropical cyclones’ intensities

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